Jon Stewart examines the choice undecided voters are facing in the 2024 election: Kamala Harris, who has an impressive résumé and specific policy plans, versus Donald Trump, whose vision, consistency on issues, anti-labor ethos, and militaristic posturing are at odds with the caricature his followers have created for him.

  • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
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    3 days ago

    “Everyone says those 100 people are a cult” is different from “Half of the population of a country call the other half a cult and vise-versa”.

    You might feel like it’s “everyone”, because you never hear anything the other side has to say. But I’m reminding you, from a statistical perspective, the weight is really about 50/50. A 60/40 split in your favor is currently outside of a 3-sigma confidence interval.

    • CileTheSane@lemmy.ca
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      3 days ago

      from a statistical perspective, the weight is really about 50/50

      It’s really not. Republicans have less support from less than 40% of the population, MAGAts are less than 20%. The Electoral College, Gerrymandering, and voter disenfranchisement are the only reason the election is around 50/50.

      If the US election was done by a straight popular vote there would have only been a single Republican president since 1990, and it would have been 20 years ago.

        • CileTheSane@lemmy.ca
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          23 hours ago

          That’s talking about the Electoral College and chances of winning the election. I was talking about the popular vote, and specifically mentioned that without the Electoral College Republicans wouldn’t have a chance.

          • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
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            20 hours ago

            Please, point out to me, in the methodology of the poll, which is provided at the bottom of the page, where is it stated that 46/49 numbers are some arbitrary chances of winning the election?

            My reading is that they’re averages of other polls that are polling popular vote, e.g. simply asking “which candidate would you vote for if the elections were tomorrow?”.

            But, please, I’m happy to be proven wrong.

            • CileTheSane@lemmy.ca
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              19 hours ago

              My reading is that they’re averages of other polls that are polling popular vote, e.g. simply asking “which candidate would you vote for if the elections were tomorrow?”.

              Please, point out to me where it says they have polled the popular vote. I don’t see anywhere that states the question being asked, but I do see the headline: Explore Electoral College scenarios

    • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      You might feel like it’s “everyone”, because you never hear anything the other side has to say.

      Au contraire mon frere. I would posit that nobody that gives even a single iota of a shit about politics in this country hasn’t been exposed to what “the other side has to say”. I’d also venture to guess that the number of people who don’t give a single iota of shit about politics in this country that have also heard what “the other side has to say” is far above zero. There have even been studies (since you occasionally pretend to give a fuck about objectivity) confirming that Republicans who watch Fox News know less about Democrats than Democrats know about Republicans.

      It’s kind of difficult to not “hear what the other side has to say” when half of your news media spends its time interviewing people on both sides of divisive issues such as “the vaccine question” or “is the earth round”, and the other half of your news media openly roots for and argues for Republican candidates.

      • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
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        1 day ago

        Dunno, gimme a name of your reputable news sources. I’ma take a look.

        Cuz the video in question is as biased as fox news. Just into the opposite direction.

        It’s hard for me, personally, to watch it, even though I do believe it’s insane to vote for Trump. And yet the video is just repeatable cringe. It ads nothing to the political debate, and given that this particular show does pretty much the same material every week I’m not sure how isn’t everyone yet bored of watching it?

        • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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          1 day ago

          Cuz the video in question is as biased as fox news. Just into the opposite direction.

          The video in this post is from a comedy show on comedy network.

          It ads nothing to the political debate

          As you continually do here with your “this adds nothing” and “this wastes electricity” posts.

          If you don’t like the video or the show, here’s an idea: don’t watch it. You don’t live here so it isn’t even really for you, and you don’t seem to enjoy it much from your pissy moany comments.

          Some of us have to live in this country where people make the absurd arguments refuted in the video about Trump, and some of us like to kick back with our feet up and blow off steam with a little mild humor about the absurdity of the political situation in this country.

          • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
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            1 day ago

            You do nothing else but kick back and watch some political comedy. And it doesn’t look like fun anymore. At this point lemmy is an emotional support club.

            Other than that, I feel you. After I’ve learned that trump got 48% or so of the popular vote (which also somehow won him the election), I’ve forever dropped my plans to move to your beautiful country. Even if career-wise it’s a no-brainer. Tbh, even 40% of the popular vote to that political figure would’ve been too much for my liking.

            • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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              1 day ago

              it doesn’t look like fun anymore.

              It hasn’t really been fun to live in this country in nearly a decade, and that’s me speaking as someone sitting on the top of the privilege pile.

              The country is basically 6 corporations dressed in a trench coat.

              • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
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                24 hours ago

                You need to either find a way to start changing things, or move to a different country, or accept that there’s nothing you can do, vote dem every 4 years while staying away from political content.

                You can’t just be angry every day in a group of people 100% sharing your views. This gets you and the country nowhere.

                • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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                  23 hours ago

                  It’s not just exposure to political content that makes it not fun to live in America. It’s the never ending mountain of shit you deal with on a daily basis simply because you’re an American.

                  • where_am_i@sh.itjust.works
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                    20 hours ago

                    Meh. That exists everywhere.

                    If you got a college degree you can move to a lot of places in the US which have a higher HDI and a living standard than almost anything in Europe. And you don’t even need to learn a new language.

                    Cry all you want about healthcare, but as a white-collar worker you’ll have a corporate insurance plan and it will be lit. Try some European public healthcare afterwards, that will be a harsh downgrade, I promise.

                    You do have a biiig problem is if you’re uneducated and working at McDonald’s or an Amazon warehouse. Cuz then you’re fucked. Like for life. And don’t you dare go unemployed, homeless, or get sick. Cuz, life, apparently can be worse than being an amazon slave, and apparently you won’t ever “recover” (to your previous slave state) from falling that low.

                    And, ofc, it’s fun to live in a society like that.

                    But you definitely don’t need to personally struggle on a daily basis. Unless by choice.